Expert: Congressional Super Committee Most Likely to Fail
November 17, 2011
This will trigger an across-the-board $1.2 trillion in cuts, but also could cause
investors to flee their bonds and U.S. securities.
As the clock ticks down on the statutory deadline, the congressional deficit reduction
super committee most likely will fail to find compromise on the $1.2 trillion in spending
cuts. This will trigger an across-the-board $1.2 trillion in cuts, but also could
cause investors to flee their bonds and U.S. securities, and another credit downgrade
for the U.S.
Craig Goodman, assistant professor of political science, (806) 742-4047 office, (806)
790-8715 mobile, firstname.lastname@example.org.
- The 12 appointees are committed to the process but are unable to broker the deals
that need to happen.
- Most committees such as this one have historically failed at their task.
- On top of across-the-board spending cuts, the U.S. could face another credit downgrade.
- The real deadline to get a proposal to the Congressional Budget Office for scoring
would be by Friday or Monday.
- “When it comes to Republicans closing loopholes or generating new taxes, I think the
former is more likely than the latter. But even if they close tax loopholes, it could
antagonize the Republican base and cause some to question the committee members’ conservative
nature, and that could lead to primary challenges.”
- “Congress has often created these types of committees to try to solve problems, but
they have generally not proven successful over time. There was a committee formed
to try to deal with Social Security in the early 1980s. But it was negotiations between
Tip O’Neill and Ronald Reagan that got a deal. Not Congress.”
- The super committee probably won’t reach a deal. One reason is because there are too
many substantive policy issues between the two sides. I think people are serious on
the committee. I think it’s usually easier to get agreement between 12 than the House
and Senate. But I’m not really sure if the people who were appointed can really negotiate
a deal. Secondly, I don’t know if the kinds of compromise that are needed would pass
the House and Senate in the end.”