What if the Hot Hand Wasn't a Fallacy?

Psychology Today-For thirty years the hot hand fallacy has been a standard topic in psychology textbooks. Alan Reifman, a professor of human development and family studies at Texas Tech, writes a popular blog on the hot hand, and he has contributed the only full-length book on the topic, Hot Hand: The Statistics Behind Sports' Greatest Streaks.

A little background. It is a canonical bit of athletic lore that players periodically get “hot.” Basketball players in particular are thought to get into a zone that allows them to drain shot after shot. Standard coaching practice suggests that when a player is clearly hot, the other team members should feed him or her the ball as much as possible to take advantage of this boost in performance.

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For thirty years the hot hand fallacy has been a standard topic in psychology textbooks. Alan Reifman, a professor of human development and family studies at Texas Tech, writes a popular blog on the hot hand, and he has contributed the only full-length book on the topic, Hot Hand: The Statistics Behind Sports' Greatest Streaks.

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