March 2, 2012
From the sheer number of stately British actors who have movies slated for this year, 2013's Oscar telecast is already looking ridiculously competitive. But I can tell you who's most likely to succeed. Here's my totally accurate and authoritative list on what will make the short list. Feel free to place your bets now.
Why it won't win:It has wizards in it. "One of the problems is that genre films generally do not win Oscars," notes Rob Weiner, associate humanities librarian and popular culture expert at Texas Tech University Libraries. "It's not like the dramas and melodramas that the Academy generally rewards."